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Pillar Two

Resilience Intelligence

Full detail coming soon. The methodology is on SSRN — the applied outputs live on the OilWatch platforms.

The Methodology

Cascade Methodology — SSRN

The formal academic framework underpinning all Resilience Intelligence work — how cascade modeling is structured, validated, and applied to complex systems. This is where the method lives. The reports on the oil sites are what the method produces.

Read on SSRN →
Applied Output

From Hormuz to Hunger

Mapping the cascade from global energy chokepoints to food system pressure — how a disruption at the Strait of Hormuz propagates far beyond fuel prices. Published across all three OilWatch platforms.

Applied Output

The Fall of the UK

Cascade methodology applied to the intersecting vulnerable strands of UK social and critical infrastructure — mapping systemic fragility across the full stack. Published across all three OilWatch platforms.

Live Data

OilWatch Dashboards

Live energy supply monitoring across three regions — tracking days-of-supply, import dependency, and systemic exposure in near real time.

Cross-pillar connection: The cascade models built here — mapping how shocks propagate across energy and social systems — are the same structural approach used to design decision rehearsal scenarios. See how this feeds into simulation architecture — Decision Intelligence →